Damaging democracy? Security provision and turnout in Afghan elections †
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Closeness and Turnout in Runoff Elections
This study aims at contributing to the literature on the effect of political competition on voting turnout. I test the Downsian Closeness Hypothesis (DCH) using data on runoffs elections in Hungary. This research design allows for estimating the effect of expected closeness using the variation of margins in the first round races to avoid the endogeneity problem inherent in ex post measures of c...
متن کاملLearning in Elections and Voter Turnout
Voter turnout in game theoretic models of voting has typically been difficult to predict because of the problem of multiple Nash equilibria. Many of these equilibria require an extreme precision of beliefs among voters that is unlikely to be reached in real elections. At the same time, mechanisms like pre-election polls exist to shape the beliefs of voters about expected turnout. We combine the...
متن کاملCoordination and turnout in large elections
Competitive elections are frequently decided by which side can generate larger turnout on polling day. When decided on whether to turnout voters are assumed to balance the cost of going to the polls with the prospect of making a difference in the election outcome. We present a stochastic model of turnout where voters receive information about current turnout propensities of the voting populus t...
متن کاملRe-examining Voter Turnout in Large Elections∗
A well-known shortcoming of rational voter models is that the equilibrium probability that an individual votes converges to zero as the population of citizens tends to infinity. We show that this does not – as is often suggested – imply that equilibrium voter turnout is insignificant in the limit. We characterize limiting equilibrium turnout and show that it may actually be arbitrarily large. I...
متن کاملA Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections∗
This paper develops a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections. The theoretical setting combines an “uncertain-voter” model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior. We apply our framework to the study of turnout and voting in U.S. presidential and congressional elections. We structurally estimate the model using individual-level data for the 2000 elect...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Economics & Politics
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0954-1985,1468-0343
DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12128